Winter Is Coming

The January transfer window has slammed shut and many clubs have been busy. Unfortunately for us most of these clubs are mid table clubs with few stellar names coming in. The winter signings are coming soon to all sites and apps soon if not already.

The list of signings are a group of names who are familiar to the stats community before and I am not a part of it! If you also play FIFA you are likely to know some of these names.

Differential Options

In FPL and other standard leagues these players could be crucial differentials especially given a good set of fixtures. If you are playing a draft league then they are all the more important as they could mean the difference between that Spurs fan smirking at you or you making a few quid.

Gabriel Jesus

Lets get the most obvious choice out of the way. The much hyped Jesus has 12 goals + 5 assists from 25.7 x 90m in the Brazilian league which translates into an attacking output in 2 out of 3 games. If the forward can continue that form here he could be fantasy gold. 3 goals and an assist in 3 games has shown his potential, what with Man City having a kind run of fixtures coming up. Sane has also been resurgent of late and is also prospering from the new formation. At this point probably neither are available, but you never know. I didn't know Sane was a free agent in our draft league! Only when I started writing this post did I realise he had only been snapped up this week!

Robert Snodgrass

The midfielder is unlikely to be available in the draft leagues based on his showing at Hull. The move to West Ham though should boost his appeal further with the likes of Carroll and Antonio at the end of his passes. West Ham have got an ideal replacement for Payet, but will he be as good? The answer is I don't know. Payet averaged 3.1 shots per game and 4.1 key passes pg. Snodgrass averages 2 spg and 2.3 key passes pg. The only caveat being West Ham are a better attacking unit than Hull. The argument to that would be that most of Hull's attack went through Snodgrass. For comparison Siggy has 3 spg and 2 key passes pg.


Patrick Van Aanholt switched from one relegation threatened club managed by Sam Allardyce to another relegation threatened club that was managed by Big Sam. I can only hope his wage bump was big enough to justify this move. Does anyone have this inkling feeling he will play as a left winger? Only me? Palace have signed Schlupp and Sakho too. Their defence is one of the worst in the league so until it improves avoid the others. Van Aanholt remains an intriguing player. He is going to score a few goals but no clean sheet potential. My recommendation is get him only if the traditional 'good' defenders are unavailable.

The New Kids on the block

Gabbiadini, Narsingh and Niang come from the other European Leagues. These guys were talked up in the past as potential big stars. Gabbiadini has 1.8 spg and only 0.2 kppg (key passes per game). He only featured in 514 minutes though and bagged 3 goals. He scored in gw 24 for the Saints and is off to a good start in the premier league. The Italian League has a slower pace but is known for better defending.

Here are the average goals scored in a season in both the leagues for a comparison.

FPL stats

So clearly the long held belief is true. Italian defences are better than their English counterparts. What does this have to do with Gabbidiani? I hope he could be a good goal scorer given the minutes and starts.

So let us see how the new boys look this season. It is a small sample size but that is what we have. Shots in box and chances created are represented here. Chances created is key passes plus assists so it gives a good idea about the creativity of the player.

Squawka comparison matrix

Gabbiadini does have an edge with regards to goals and Narsingh is definitely the most creative of the lot. In the 2015-16 season Narsingh played 2076 minutes in 30 games and still had 2.12 CC p90. He promptly got 2 assists in 2 games for Swansea although the assist for Siggurdsson would not really count towards his potential.

Swansea look resurgent under Clement but Narsingh has come on as a sub in both games so beware of that. Niang had almost as much minutes this half season as the whole of last season. He got 0.39 goals p90 last season but is already off the mark for Watford. Of the two I would go for Niang now for his goal scoring and possible security of starts.

Brady is not a viable option right now as Burnley are so lopsided right now. Very good at home and very poor away . Brady did not exactly set the Championship on fire either.

Ademola Lookman

He had a decent season last year for Charlton getting 1.9 CCp90 and 1.2 SiB p90. 5 goals in 1519 minutes and 32 chances created over the same period here. If Everton persist with him he could be a decent differential.

Kamil Grosicki

I have never heard of this Ligue Un import till the transfer happened! He created 2.27 chances per 90 for Rennes better than Narsingh! Hull look like they are turning the corner and this man could play a key role for them.

In a few weeks will review these players and see how they have fared. Especially before the crucial blank and double gameweeks come around.

So which of these new players are you going to draft? The next Memphis Depay or the next Dimitri Payet?

Community article contributed by @FPLDraft.

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